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Oliver Buchannon
Profitus Trader

markets

Rejection at the Top: Is SPY Losing Steam?

Jun 4, 2025

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5 min read

Rejection at the Top: Is SPY Losing Steam?

The SPY has pushed aggressively higher since bouncing from the 200-day moving average in late May. However, over the last few sessions, especially today, we’re seeing signs of exhaustion just below a major resistance level, with the price stalling near ~599 USD. This could indicate that buyers are losing momentum, at least temporarily.

Profitus Trader
Profitus Trader

markets

The 200-Day Test: Will the Bulls Hold the Line?

May 24, 2025

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5 min read

The 200-Day Test: Will the Bulls Hold the Line?

Markets worldwide staged a partial comeback this week, driven by easing trade tensions, expectations of monetary policy adjustments, and strategic tariff exemptions from the Trump administration.

Profitus Trader
Profitus Trader

markets

Trade Talks: markets on the edge

Apr 20, 2025

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4 min read

Trade Talks: markets on the edge

Markets worldwide staged a partial comeback this week, driven by easing trade tensions, expectations of monetary policy adjustments, and strategic tariff exemptions from the Trump administration.

Profitus Trader
Profitus Trader

markets

Chaos & Comebacks:Market melted, but new rebound found?

Apr 12, 2025

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4 min read

Chaos & Comebacks:Market melted, but new rebound found?

The week was anything but ordinary. From massive selloffs to sudden rebounds, global markets were shaken by escalating trade tensions, unexpected policy twists, and growing concerns over a global slowdown.

Profitus Trader
Profitus Trader

markets

Double bottom or crash?

Mar 31, 2025

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3 min read

Double bottom or crash?

SPY is in a somewhat ambiguous spot, while QQQ looks a bit clearer.But this week’s results should bring more clarity.

Profitus Trader
Profitus Trader

mercados

Thoughts on the market, tariffs, and the current volatility

Feb 4, 2025

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5 min read

Thoughts on the market, tariffs, and the current volatility

In this newsletter, I will share a personal opinion on how I see the market movement, how key levels are respected, and the great opportunities it presents.

Profitus Trader
Profitus Trader

markets

The S&P 500 bounced back, and our prediction was spot on.

Jan 19, 2025

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7 min read

The S&P 500 bounced back, and our prediction was spot on.

In last week's newsletter, we mentioned that if SPY held above $580, the rebound thesis would remain intact. That’s exactly what happened, and I'll explain it below.

Profitus Trader
Profitus Trader

markets

What an interesting start to 2025! Are we looking at a V-shaped recovery?

Jan 5, 2025

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9 min read

What an interesting start to 2025! Are we looking at a V-shaped recovery?

The first week of the year seems to kick off with a recognition of a double bottom in the S&P 500. Let’s see how it unfolds, as the situation remains highly volatile.

Profitus Trader
Profitus Trader

markets

FED rate cuts, SP500 tanking

Dec 19, 2024

•

7 min read

FED rate cuts, SP500 tanking

What a week! The indices tumbled after the Fed's outlook, posting record declines not seen in a long time. But is this just a scare or the beginning of a trend reversal?

Profitus Trader
Profitus Trader

markets

BTC almost kissing the 100k - NVDA week

Nov 23, 2024

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8 min read

BTC almost kissing the 100k - NVDA week

At the beginning of the week, the indices had already returned to pre-Trump trade levels, offering a good entry point. Meanwhile, BTC is trying to hit 100k, MSTR is soaring, and the dollar is at its highest value of the year. All this and more this week...

Profitus Trader
Profitus Trader

markets

Finally a pullback - What's next?

Nov 15, 2024

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8 min read

Finally a pullback - What's next?

Good news for those who didn’t jump in before the elections and the post-election bull run: the market started to correct this week. We’ll talk about that today...

Profitus Trader
Profitus Trader

markets

New president and market is booming

Nov 8, 2024

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8 min read

New president and market is booming

Trump's victory pushed the indices sharply upward, and with Elon’s support, TESLA also skyrocketed in an impressive rally. Let’s break down what happened this week and what we might expect ahead.

Profitus Trader
Profitus Trader

markets

BTC ATH, SPY selling off ahead of the elections, and mixed earnings reports

Nov 1, 2024

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7 min read

BTC ATH, SPY selling off ahead of the elections, and mixed earnings reports

Bitcoin hit a high of 73,500 this week, QQQ reached a new peak again, and approaching Friday, all indices saw sell-offs.

Profitus Trader
Profitus Trader

markets

Tesla surges. Gold ATH and BTC as inflation hedge?

Oct 25, 2024

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11 min read

Tesla surges. Gold ATH and BTC as inflation hedge?

Indices were boosted by strong results, including Tesla, which rose over 20% in the days following its earnings report. This and much more in today’s post.

Profitus Trader
Profitus Trader

markets

Trump electoral advantage, strong bank reports, and BTC surges

Oct 18, 2024

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7 min read

Trump electoral advantage, strong bank reports, and BTC surges

S&P 500 at new highs, NFLX better than expected, and BTC rising sharply.

Profitus Trader
Profitus Trader

markets

Oil and gold are rising, and SPY hits a new high

Oct 11, 2024

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10 min read

Oil and gold are rising, and SPY hits a new high

Weak start to the week on Monday but a recovery in the following days. SPY breaks its high with some hesitation (for now).

Profitus Trader
Profitus Trader

markets

Chinese Stocks Soar. Gold, Oil, and Commodities Surge Amid Geopolitical Tensions

Oct 4, 2024

•

9 min read

Chinese Stocks Soar. Gold, Oil, and Commodities Surge Amid Geopolitical Tensions

Stimulus in China, rising commodities, and global uncertainties create new opportunities for investors as inflation dips and trade tensions loom.

Profitus Trader
Profitus Trader

Opportunities

Lithium mining companies: good opportunity?

Oct 4, 2024

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5 min read

Lithium mining companies: good opportunity?

Lithium miners are trading at historic lows. This could present a real opportunity—but with a word of caution.

Profitus Trader
Profitus Trader

markets

September broke the statistics

Sep 30, 2024

•

7 min read

September broke the statistics

September ended up breaking the statistics, with the SPY closing 1.3% positive, when it’s typically the worst month of the year. The same happened in the crypto market, where BTC historically falls almost 6%, but ended up gaining 12%, and so far this year, it's up 50%.All of this has been driven by the Fed’s rate cut momentum, upcoming elections, and labor market data on the way.

Profitus Trader
Profitus Trader

markets

Strong rate cut and doubt

Sep 20, 2024

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6 min read

Strong rate cut and doubt

The Fed decided to cut the interest rate by 0.5. Are they afraid something will break with such a strong cut? It raises some suspicion; we’ll see how the market reacts, but initially, the SP500 is leaving a dangerous wick after reaching a high. Ambiguous market profile: record wealth, and stocks at ATH, but inflation persists, housing sales are falling, and bankruptcies are rising on the other hand.

Profitus Trader
Profitus Trader

markets

Super bullish week, but Wednesday the 18th will be a crucial turning point.

Sep 16, 2024

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6 min read

Super bullish week, but Wednesday the 18th will be a crucial turning point.

We had a week with strong bullish green candles for the indices. An ascending triangle is starting to form in the SPY, and on Wednesday, September 18, 2024, the rate cut will be defined. Stay tuned.

Profitus Trader
Profitus Trader

markets

Red Across the Market This Week: Is Recovery Coming or Will the Bloodshed Continue?

Sep 8, 2024

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6 min read

Red Across the Market This Week: Is Recovery Coming or Will the Bloodshed Continue?

In volatile markets, as we saw this week, adapting is key to staying in the game. It’s not about being the fastest, but about moving intelligently.

Profitus Trader
Profitus Trader

markets

NVDA exceeded expectations but is still down 6%. There are still opportunities, but be cautious heading into September.

Aug 30, 2024

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5 min read

NVDA exceeded expectations but is still down 6%. There are still opportunities, but be cautious heading into September.

Rate cuts have been confirmed, but September is also approaching, which historically has been the worst month of the year for the indices. There's significant uncertainty, especially with the elections on the horizon. Pay attention to how things are developing, particularly with the news.

Profitus Trader
Profitus Trader

markets

Rate cuts are finally on the horizon; the question now is by HOW MUCH

Aug 23, 2024

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4 min read

Rate cuts are finally on the horizon; the question now is by HOW MUCH

We just came off the best week of 2024 for the indices, including the Nikkei. Gold reached a record price, and the market added $3 trillion in value from its lowest point earlier this month. By Tuesday, the SP500 had seen eight consecutive sessions of gains.Now that we have confirmation of rate cuts, what will drive the market with greater volatility will be news indicating HOW MUCH the rates will be cut. For example, news related to the labor market— the weaker it is (more unemployment), the more likely we are to see aggressive rate cuts. So, it's important to keep a close watch.

Profitus Trader
Profitus Trader

markets

BIPOLAR Market: One week pessimistic, the next week optimistic.

Aug 16, 2024

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3 min read

BIPOLAR Market: One week pessimistic, the next week optimistic.

The market sentiment is shifting week by week with each set of data—one week pessimistic, the next bullish, and so on. The index has recovered all it lost and closed the gap created on Black Monday. Inflation has dropped to its lowest level since 2021. This high volatility is leading investors to demand more fixed-income assets like bonds.

Profitus Trader
Profitus Trader
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